Understand what’s coming. Build a business that’s ready.
Climate change is already reshaping supply chains, disrupting markets and creating real financial exposure for businesses. The successful businesses of the future will be those who manage the climate transition well, exploring new markets, building resilience and gaining a competitive advantage over those that choose to look the other way.
For those who are unprepared, the risks are real and profound.
For those that understand whatโs coming, those same forces bring new opportunities.
Uncovering the risks beyond your own assets
Most physical climate risk assessments have a critical limitation. They focus on a businessโs own assets and operations, looking at what climate hazards could do to your own buildings and infrastructure.
In reality, the effects of climate change do not stop at the factory gate or the office door. They disrupt supply chains, energy infrastructure and distribution networks, cascading through your value chain and creating risks to your business.
This is what we model.
Sirocco’s AI-enabled models dig beyond the obvious, unlocking hidden vulnerabilities within your value chain and quantifying their potential impacts on your revenue.
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A comprehensive approach to
understanding climate risk
Next-gen physical risk modelling
Sirocco’s AI-enabled data model map how climate-related hazards across your value chain translate into financial and operational risk. It connects the dots between climate science and business reality, translating complex data into insight your teams can actually use.
Most importantly of all, it shows you where in your value chain your mitigation efforts should focus, ensuring you build real resilience without wasting time or money in the wrong places.
We partner with climate scientists and software engineers to ensure our model is fed with the latest, high-quality hazard data, ensuring your strategy is built on the highest-quality insights.


Tail risk scenario planning
For some tail risks, modelling isnโt enough. Their impacts are so profound and uncertain that trying to model them creates an illusion of certainty that doesnโt help anybody.
To help manage these risks, we work with key stakeholders across your business to understand how one of these major climate events could disrupt your assets, supply chains or access to energy. By testing test your current strategy and operations against these events, we help uncover hidden vulnerabilities, working with you to develop a more resilient future.
What we do
By combining cutting-edge climate data and modelling approaches with detailed information about your own business, we build a comprehensive picture of:
- How physical climate hazards across your value chain could affect your revenue and operations
- How the climate transition could affect your business, from regulatory change, shifting demand and market repricing
- Where your greatest vulnerabilities lie and where the most compelling opportunities exist
- How your existing strategies perform under the most severe climate stress, and where they need to be strengthened
We believe climate change can be managed well. Our approach provides you with a living, strategic tool that informs your decisions and helps you move faster than your competitors.
Why Sirocco?
We operate at the nexus of climate science and business strategy, translating uncertain climate scenarios into information that businesses can actually use. Our data-driven approach provides you with robust insights that stand up to scrutiny.
Our highly experienced team can work with you to build resilience in a way that makes sense within the context of your organisation. We are never alarmist, but we are always realistic.
For businesses with reporting obligations, our approach provides the robust analytical foundations that good disclosures require, allowing you to communicate your strategy to investors and stakeholders with confidence.
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Related insights from our blog, The Prevailing Wind





